Il giorno 7 luglio il prof. Mike Sherris dell' Universita'
del New South Wales di Sydney terra' un seminario su "Immunization
and Hedging of Longevity Risk". Il seminario si svolgera' a partire
dalle ore 17.30 in un'aula della MIB School of Management di
Trieste, palazzo Ferdinandeo (largo caduti di Nasiriya
1).
Abstract
Pension funds and life insurers offering annuities hold long term
liabilities linked to longevity. Risk management of life annuity
portfolios aims to immunize or hedge both interest rate and
mortality risks. Standard fixed interest duration-convexity hedging
must be adapted to allow for both interest rate and longevity risk.
We develop an immunization approach along with a delta-gamma based
approach allowing for both risks incorporating models for mortality
and interest rate risk. The immunization and hedge effectiveness of
fixed interest coupon bonds, annuity bonds, as well as longevity
bonds, is compared and assessed using simulations of portfolio
surplus outcomes for an annuity portfolio. Fixed income annuity
bonds can more effectively match cash flows and provide additional
hedge effectiveness over coupon bonds. Longevity bonds, including
deferred longevity bonds, reduce risk significantly compared to
coupon and annuity bonds, reflecting the long duration of the
typical life annuity and the exposure to longevity risk. Longevity
bonds are shown to be effective in immunizing surplus over short
and long horizons. Delta gamma hedging is shown to only be
effective over short horizons.
Michael Sherrisis Professor of Actuarial Studies at the
Australian School of Business, UNSW, in Sydney, Australia. He is a
Chief Investigator in the ARC Centre of Excellence in Population
Ageing Research (CEPAR) and Deputy Director of the Australian
Institute for Population Ageing Research (AIPAR). He was 2009
President of the Asia Pacific Risk and Insurance Association. He
has a long involvement as both a practitioner and in teaching and
research in financial and insurance risk management and actuarial
science. Michael has won a number of awards for his research
including the IAA Bob Alting von Gesau AFIR Prize, Casualty
Actuarial Society (CAS) annual prize for the most valuable
contribution to casualty actuarial science published in American
Risk and Insurance Association (ARIA) literature, the Geneva
Association/IIS Research Program Shin Research Award For
Excellence, the Redington Prize of the Society of Actuaries, and
the H M Jackson Memorial Prize of The Institute of Actuaries of
Australia. In 2007 he was awarded Actuary of the Year by the
Institute of Actuaries of Australia in recognition of his
contributions to actuarial research and education both
internationally and within Australia. His current research
interests' focus on insurer risk management, risk based capital and
longevity risk modelling and management. He is currently a lead and
chief investigator on research grants with funding in excess of $22
million from ARC Linkage, Industry, Universities and Government.
Over the last 10 years he was an investigator on ARC Grants
totalling over $2 million in ARC funding as well as an investigator
in the ARC Financial Integrity Research Network with funding of
$1.75 million over 5 years.
Prior to becoming an academic he worked in the banking and
finance industry for a number of major banks and a life insurance
company. He has been an active member of the Australian actuarial
profession having served on the Council of the Institute of
Actuaries of Australia.
Professor Sherris has provided consulting advice for a number of
banks, life insurance companies and fund managers in the areas of
interest rate risk management, derivatives, funds management,
project finance, investment modelling and superannuation.