Would you like to get a comprehensive introduction to
stochastic mortality models, epidemiological models, and how the
two interact during pandemic times?
If yes, we invite you to benefit from the early bird tariff and to
join the EAA Web Session "Stochastic Modeling of Mortality
with Special Focus on Pandemic Risk" on 23 March 2021 | 14:00-17:00
CET.
Your early-bird registration fee is € 150.00 plus 19% VAT for
registrations by 9 February 2021. After this date, the fee will be
€ 205.00 plus 19% VAT.
We will examine in detail a stochastic mortality model based on
the textbook "Stochastic Modeling - Theory and Reality from an
Actuarial Perspective" (copyright © 2010 International Actuarial
Association). After studying the technical specifications of the
model, participants will learn to calibrate and apply the model
through use of a practical, Excel-based example.
The stochastic mortality model presented in the textbook includes
a pandemic component, which is calibrated based on historical
pandemic experience. This web session will present updates to the
pandemic component to reflect emerging experience in the COVID-19
pandemic. Participants will also learn how COVID-19 compares to
various historical pandemics.
Participants will receive an introduction to epidemiological
models, including how those models can be used to measure the
emerging impact of an ongoing pandemic. The web session will
discuss how epidemiological models can be incorporated into
stochastic mortality models, including the ability to reflect
stochastic uncertainty in an ongoing, emerging pandemic.
Please find all additional information in this print
version and on our website where you will find the
registration form. An overview on other upcoming events can be downloaded as well.
If you have any questions, please do not hesitate to contact
us.
Best regards!