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We are very happy that due to its great success in 2022, this
web session will be held again in July 2023.
Natural Catastrophe Models are a key ingredient for the assessment
of Nat Cat risk. Questions like "What losses do we expect from
catastrophic events on average?" and "What losses do we
need to expect in the worst case?" are becoming more and more
relevant, in particular considering climate change. Natural
Catastrophe Models try to answer these questions in a statistical
sense, and have for many years now become an important tool for the
assessment of (re-) insurance contracts.
In this web session, you will receive an introduction to Nat Cat
Modelling and its applications. The basic components of a Nat Cat
model will be explained: Exposure data, the hazard,
vulnerabilities, and the financial model. Sources of uncertainty
will also be discussed together with methods for quantification.
After the first part, we will build our own simple Nat Cat model in
a hands-on case study. Finally, we will take a closer look at the
results a model can produce and how to use them for pricing in the
reinsurance context.
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